Deportes Recoleta – San Marcos De Arica

Model: TIPPSA

Deportes Recoleta vs San Marcos De Arica

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.70
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffSet 10, 2026 1:00 AM
ResultLOSS2 - 1
StartStarted 2d 7h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2d 9h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is San Marcos De Arica. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: San Marcos De AricaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.108 | A: -0.123

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

35/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.58First seen
Current2.65Now
Max odds2.88Highest point
Min odds2.55Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Deportes RecoletaHOME
VS
San Marcos De AricaAWAY
WWDLW
Recent form
LWLLL
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.80
Shots on target for
4.40
3.00
SoT conceded pressure
6.40
4.00
Home splitW-L-W-W-L1.80 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-D-L0.60 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.70. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.84% based on n=717 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Chile Primera B (cl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.70
V2 BandLOWROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor San Marcos De Arica. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -4.5% 7D: 6.5% 15D: 6.4% 30D: 4.8%
Model insight

Deportes Recoleta – San Marcos De Arica Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.70. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample59
Win Rate37.3%
Profit-2.11u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSAriana FC Malmo - Atvidabergs FF2.520.84%
LOSSFK Kokand 1912 - Dinamo Samarqand2.730.84%
WINShonan Bellmare - Vegalta Sendai2.460.84%
WINSportivo Ameliano - Sportivo Trinidense2.590.84%
LOSSNacional Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion2.560.84%
LOSSFleetwood Town - Oldham2.660.84%
LOSSHapoel Afula - Hapoel Raanana2.630.84%
LOSSRapid Bucuresti - CS U Craiova2.550.84%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Sudtirol - Modena22.630.84%12 Sep 15:00
Pick
2 @ 2.70
Kickoff
Set 10, 2026 1:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717
Start
Started 2d 7h ago
Updated
Updated 2d 9h ago
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