Model: TIPPSA

Sportivo Ameliano vs Sportivo Trinidense

PREDICTION

@ 2.50

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffSet 02, 2026 11:00 PM

ResultWIN0 - 3

StartStarted 1d ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sportivo Trinidense. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sportivo TrinidenseGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.012 | A: -0.134

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

33/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.70First seen

Current2.62Now

Max odds2.73Highest point

Min odds2.60Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sportivo AmelianoHOME

Sportivo TrinidenseAWAY

LDWLL

Recent form

WLLDD

Avg goals scored

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.60

0.80

Shots on target for

3.60

3.80

SoT conceded pressure

4.20

2.40

Home splitL-W-L-W-D1.00 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitW-L-D-L-W1.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.50. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.84% based on n=717 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Paraguay Division Profesional (py). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.50

V2 BandLOWROI 0.84% · n=717

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 0.8% 7D: -8.8% 15D: 12.2% 30D: 5.3%

Model insight

Sportivo Ameliano – Sportivo Trinidense Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.50. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample104

Win Rate42.3%

Profit+4.10u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Nacional Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	2.56	0.84%
WIN	Vanraure Hachinohe - Tochigi City	2.33	0.84%
LOSS	Fleetwood Town - Oldham	2.66	0.84%
LOSS	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Raanana	2.63	0.84%
LOSS	Rapid Bucuresti - CS U Craiova	2.55	0.84%
LOSS	Derby U21 - West Brom U21	2.47	0.84%
LOSS	Valur Reykjavik - IA Akranes	2.47	0.84%
LOSS	Radomiak Radom - Cracovia Krakow	2.34	0.84%

Pick

2 @ 2.50

Kickoff

Set 02, 2026 11:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717

Start

Started 1d ago

Updated

Updated 1d 2h ago