Deportivo Binacional – Bentin Tacna Heroica

Model: TIPPSA

Deportivo Binacional vs Bentin Tacna Heroica

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.08
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 26, 2026 10:15 PM
ResultWIN0 - 3
StartStarted 3h 23m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11h 20m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Bentin Tacna Heroica. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Bentin Tacna HeroicaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.078 | A: -0.001

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

30/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.99First seen
Current2.18Now
Max odds2.27Highest point
Min odds1.60Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Deportivo BinacionalHOME
VS
Bentin Tacna HeroicaAWAY
LLLWL
Recent form
WWDLW
Avg goals scored
1.20
2.20
Defensive weakness
3.00
1.40
Shots on target for
3.40
5.60
SoT conceded pressure
8.00
5.40
Home splitL-W-L-L-L0.80 scored / 2.20 conceded
Away splitW-D-L-L-L1.40 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.08. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.21% based on n=228 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Peru Liga 2 (pe). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.08
V2 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228
V4 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Bentin Tacna Heroica's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -18.3% 7D: 0.9% 15D: 9.0% 30D: 19.9%
Model insight

Deportivo Binacional – Bentin Tacna Heroica Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.08. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.21% and 1.21%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample89
Win Rate55.1%
Profit+13.69u
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WINRadomiak Radom - Hapoel Beer Sheva2.041.21%
LOSSFortaleza U20 - Vasco da Gama U202.111.21%
WINBentleigh Greens - Altona Magic2.290.84%
WINHolland Park Hawks - Redlands United2.031.21%
WINIFK Mariehamn - IF Gnistan2.031.21%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Necaxa - Monterrey22.131.76%27 Jul 01:00
Amazonas FC - Paysandu22.151.21%27 Jul 01:30
Pick
2 @ 2.08
Kickoff
Lug 26, 2026 10:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.21% • n=228
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.21% • n=228
Start
Started 3h 23m ago
Updated
Updated 11h 20m ago
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