Model: TIPPSA

Torpedo Kutaisi vs Zira IK

PREDICTION

@ 2.15

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 16, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 10h 12m

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 29m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Zira IK. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Zira IK

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

31/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.32First seen

Current2.25Now

Max odds2.48Highest point

Min odds2.05Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Torpedo KutaisiHOME

Zira IKAWAY

LDWDL

Recent form

WLWLD

Avg goals scored

1.00

1.60

Defensive weakness

1.60

1.20

Shots on target for

2.00

5.00

SoT conceded pressure

5.80

2.40

Home splitD-L-L-W-D1.20 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitL-L-D-D-D1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.15. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.21% based on n=228 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UEFA Conference League Qualifying. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.15

V2 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228

V4 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Zira IK is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -25.7% 7D: -11.5% 15D: 4.3% 30D: 14.8%

Model insight

Torpedo Kutaisi – Zira IK Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.15. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.21% and 1.21%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample96

Win Rate55.2%

Profit+17.22u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Radomiak Radom - Hapoel Beer Sheva	2.04	1.21%
LOSS	Fortaleza U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	2.11	1.21%
WIN	Bentleigh Greens - Altona Magic	2.29	0.84%
WIN	Holland Park Hawks - Redlands United	2.03	1.21%
LOSS	Galway United - Derry City	2.35	0.84%
WIN	IFK Mariehamn - IF Gnistan	2.03	1.21%
LOSS	Nunawading - Keilor Park	2.25	0.84%
WIN	MyPa - PPJ	2.06	1.76%

Pick

2 @ 2.15

Kickoff

Lug 16, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.21% • n=228

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.21% • n=228

Start

Starts in 10h 12m

Updated

Updated 29m ago