UCD vs Derry City
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is UCD. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: UCDGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.067 | A: 0.024Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 5.25. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 8.20% based on n=51 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Republic of Ireland FAI Cup (ie). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Despite entering the match at a generous price, UCD has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar ELITE underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results.
UCD – Derry City Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Atletico San Luis (W) - Toluca (W) | 5.25 | 8.20% |
| LOSS | Girona - Arsenal | 5.00 | 9.41% |
| LOSS | Aguilas - Almeria | 5.50 | 8.20% |
| LOSS | FC Nagykanizsa - Diosgyori VTK | 5.00 | 9.41% |
| LOSS | Aldershot - Oxford Utd | 5.25 | 8.20% |
| WIN | Malisheva - Hibernian | 5.50 | 8.20% |
| LOSS | Sutton Utd - AFC Wimbledon | 5.00 | 9.41% |
| LOSS | KSV Oudenaarde - Club Brugge II | 5.00 | 9.41% |