Dila Gori vs Samgurali
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Samgurali. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: SamguraliValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.20. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.37% based on n=123 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Georgia Erovnuli Liga (ge). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Samgurali has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Dila Gori – Samgurali Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Clermont Foot - US Orleans 45 | 4.00 | 2.27% |
| WIN | Poxyt - MPS | 4.20 | 4.37% |
| LOSS | Bath Estate - Mighty Avengers | 4.00 | 2.27% |
| LOSS | Hudson Valley Crusaders (W) - New England Mutiny (W) | 4.00 | 2.27% |
| LOSS | Juventud Unida Universitario - CA Costa Brava | 4.10 | 4.73% |
| LOSS | Orsomarso (W) - Junior (W) | 4.20 | 4.37% |
| LOSS | CF Esperança d'Andorra - SC Escaldes | 4.00 | 2.27% |
| LOSS | Johannesburg Uni (W) - Ezemvelo (W) | 4.20 | 2.27% |