Model: TIPPSH

Juazeirense vs ASA

PREDICTION

@ 2.70

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffApr 30, 2026 4:30 AM

ResultLOSS1 - 1

StartStarted 96d 17h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.90% · n=238

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.90% · n=238

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 96d 21h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Juazeirense. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: JuazeirenseGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

56/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.45First seen

Current2.70Now

Max odds2.70Highest point

Min odds2.10Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

JuazeirenseHOME

ASAAWAY

DWWDW

Recent form

DLWDW

Avg goals scored

1.80

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.00

Shots on target for

5.00

3.40

SoT conceded pressure

3.20

3.80

Home splitD-W-W-W2.00 scored / 0.75 conceded

Away splitD-L-W1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.70. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.90% based on n=238 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Copa Nordeste (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.70

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.90% · n=238

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.90% · n=238

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar HIGH underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Juazeirense's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: -18.6% 7D: 2.1% 15D: 4.2% 30D: 15.1%

Model insight

Juazeirense – ASA Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.70. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.90% and 6.90%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample12

Win Rate16.7%

Profit-6.92u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Athlone Town - UCD	2.82	7.96%
LOSS	Paraguay - Australia	2.91	7.96%
LOSS	FC Yamato Sylphid (W) - Veertien Mie (W)	2.75	7.96%
LOSS	Haras El Hedoud - Petrojet	2.87	7.96%
LOSS	FC Copenhagen - Midtjylland	2.51	6.90%
LOSS	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al Jandal	2.63	6.90%
LOSS	FK Blansko - SK Unicov	2.45	6.90%
WIN	Al Hamriyah - Al Fujairah	2.45	6.90%

Pick

1 @ 2.70

Kickoff

Apr 30, 2026 4:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.90% • n=238

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.90% • n=238

Start

Started 96d 17h ago

Updated

Updated 96d 21h ago