Sao Luiz – Blumenau EC

Model: TIPPSA

Sao Luiz vs Blumenau EC

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.24
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 20, 2026 10:30 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 45d ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.07% · n=461
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -4.49% · n=175
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 45d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Blumenau EC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Blumenau ECGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

21/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.67First seen
Current3.24Now
Max odds4.98Highest point
Min odds3.15Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sao LuizHOME
VS
Blumenau ECAWAY
DWDLW
Recent form
DWWLW
Avg goals scored
1.20
3.20
Defensive weakness
0.60
0.80
Shots on target for
5.00
6.40
SoT conceded pressure
5.00
2.40
Home splitD-W-W-L-D2.00 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitD-W-W-W-W3.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.24. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -4.49% based on n=175 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie D (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.24
V2 BandNONEROI -1.07% · n=461
V4 BandNONEROI -4.49% · n=175
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Blumenau EC's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 25.9% 7D: 3.2% 15D: 1.5% 30D: 7.4%
Model insight

Sao Luiz – Blumenau EC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.24. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.07% and -4.49%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample42
Win Rate35.7%
Profit+4.61u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSHuehuetecos FC - Deportivo Gomerano3.39-0.79%
LOSSShenzhen Xinpengcheng - Chongqing Tonglianglong3.14-1.07%
LOSSOrange County SC - El Paso Locomotive FC3.00-1.07%
WINHNK Gorica - NK Osijek3.11-1.07%
LOSSMold Alexandra - Caersws3.08-1.07%
LOSSBesiktas - Midtjylland3.31-0.79%
WINKuPS (W) - Aland United (W)3.00-1.07%
WINAnapolis FC - Botafogo PB3.10-1.07%
Pick
2 @ 3.24
Kickoff
Giu 20, 2026 10:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.07% • n=461
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-4.49% • n=175
Start
Started 45d ago
Updated
Updated 45d 2h ago
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