Model: TIPPSH
Perth Glory NPL vs Fremantle City FC
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.88
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 15, 2026 11:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 21h
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2h 50m ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Perth Glory NPL. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Perth Glory NPLGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.050 | A: 0.168Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
50/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.01First seen
Current2.99Now
Max odds3.01Highest point
Min odds2.99Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Perth Glory NPLHOME
VS
Fremantle City FCAWAY
DWDLD
Recent form
DDWWW
Avg goals scored
2.00
2.40
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.20
Shots on target for
4.60
4.40
SoT conceded pressure
3.20
1.60
Home splitW-D-L-D-L1.80 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitD-W-W-W-L2.20 scored / 1.20 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.88. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.53% based on n=669 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Western Australia Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.88
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityLow
AI Match Insight
The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 15.5%
7D: 14.8%
15D: 14.9%
30D: 11.3%
Model insight
Perth Glory NPL – Fremantle City FC Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.88. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.53% across 669 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample59
Win Rate40.7%
Profit+10.36u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Asteras Tripolis - AEK Larnaca | 2.92 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Loughborough University - Belper Town | 2.70 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Mineros - Monagas II | 2.80 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Cruzeiro - Flamengo | 3.12 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Club Aurora - Bolivar | 2.70 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Karpaty Lviv - LNZ Lebedyn | 3.07 | 4.53% |
| WIN | Bury Town - Halesowen | 2.95 | 4.53% |
| WIN | Vanraure Hachinohe - Kataller Toyama | 2.93 | 4.53% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Espanol Reserves - Liverpool Montevideo Reserves | 1 | 3.09 | 4.53% | 21 Jul 19:00 |
| Oaxaca - Tepatitlan FC | 1 | 3.02 | 4.53% | 14 Aug 03:00 |
| Marseille - Atletico Madrid | 1 | 2.94 | 2.79% | 14 Aug 17:30 |
| Llaneros - Deportes Tolima | 1 | 2.73 | 2.49% | 15 Aug 01:00 |
| Avispa Fukuoka - Cerezo Osaka | 1 | 2.73 | 3.15% | 15 Aug 12:00 |
| Crusaders - Ballymena Utd | 1 | 2.96 | 4.53% | 15 Aug 16:00 |
| Annan Athletic - Clyde | 1 | 2.93 | 4.53% | 15 Aug 16:00 |
| Leixoes - Tondela | 1 | 2.73 | 2.49% | 16 Aug 16:30 |
Pick
1 @ 2.88
Kickoff
Ago 15, 2026 11:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.53% • n=669
Start
Starts in 1d 21h
Updated
Updated 2h 50m ago