Model: TipTromba2H

EC Juventude vs Ponte Preta

PREDICTION

@ 1.53

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 14, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultWIN3 - 0

StartStarted 50d 7h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.38% · n=1115

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 55d ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is EC Juventude. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: EC JuventudeGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

6/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

EC JuventudeHOME

Ponte PretaAWAY

WLWLD

Recent form

LLDLL

Avg goals scored

1.60

0.80

Defensive weakness

0.80

2.60

Shots on target for

5.40

2.80

SoT conceded pressure

3.80

7.60

Home splitW-W-L-W-D1.80 scored / 0.40 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-W-L0.80 scored / 2.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.53. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.38% based on n=1115 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie B (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.53

V2 BandNONEROI -3.38% · n=1115

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. EC Juventude is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 66.8% 7D: -1.6% 15D: 2.1% 30D: 15.2%

Model insight

EC Juventude – Ponte Preta Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.53. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -3.38% across 1115 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample454

Win Rate63.4%

Profit+8.57u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Ironi Modiin	1.62	-1.89%
LOSS	Brodd - Stabaek 2	1.70	-1.89%
WIN	Cerro Porteno Reserves - Sportivo Luqueno Reserves	1.62	-3.82%
LOSS	Viimsi JK - JK Tallinna Kalev	1.67	-1.89%
LOSS	Itaquaquecetuba U23 - America SP U23	1.67	-3.38%
WIN	Penarol (W) - Defensor Sporting (W)	1.60	-1.89%
LOSS	Real Potosi - GV San Jose	1.50	-1.89%
WIN	AD Sarchi - AD Cofutpa	1.57	-3.82%

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Pick

1 @ 1.53

Kickoff

Giu 14, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -3.38% • n=1115

Start

Started 50d 7h ago

Updated

Updated 55d ago