Entebbe UPPC – Lugazi FC

Model: TIPPSH

Entebbe UPPC vs Lugazi FC

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.70
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffSet 09, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 1d 15h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 18h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Entebbe UPPC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Entebbe UPPCGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.050 | A: 0.001

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

3/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.55First seen
Current1.69Now
Max odds1.69Highest point
Min odds1.55Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Entebbe UPPCHOME
VS
Lugazi FCAWAY
LWWDD
Recent form
WLWLD
Avg goals scored
1.00
0.80
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.00
Shots on target for
4.20
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
3.00
6.20
Home splitL-W-L-W-W1.80 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitW-L-D-D-W0.80 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.70. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Uganda Premier League (ug). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.70
V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a clear favorite, although the recent form gap is not as dominant as the price might imply. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -26.8% 7D: 2.6% 15D: 3.5% 30D: 4.9%
Model insight

Entebbe UPPC – Lugazi FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.70. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -9.21% across 1970 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample574
Win Rate61.0%
Profit+12.68u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINViimsi JK - FC Elva1.72-9.21%
WINWolania Wola Rzedzinska - Poprad Muszyna1.68-7.35%
WINSP Domagnano - SC Faetano1.72-9.21%
WINNeedham Market - Stanway Rovers1.65-7.35%
LOSSCSD Comunicaciones - Marquense1.75-7.35%
WINEmelec - Manta FC1.62-9.21%
WINChelsea - Leeds1.69-9.21%
WINAtletico Nacional Medellin - Deportivo Cali1.63-4.66%
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Pick
1 @ 1.70
Kickoff
Set 09, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970
Start
Started 1d 15h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 18h ago
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