Model: TipTromba3H
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn – CA Lugano
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.55
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 23, 2026 10:30 PM
ResultWIN3 - 2
StartStarted 3d 3h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.03% · n=612
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 5d 1h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | CA Lugano |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-D-D-L-W | L-D-W-L-D |
| Avg goals scored | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Home/Away form | W-D-W-L-D (home) | L-D-L-D-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.80 scored / 0.80 conceded | 0.80 scored / 1.40 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.40 for / 1.80 against | 4.00 for / 4.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.20 for / 1.80 against (home) | 1.80 for / 3.80 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.25First seen
Current2.55Now
Max odds2.55Highest point
Min odds2.23Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn – CA Lugano Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.55. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.03% across 612 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample15
Win Rate33.3%
Profit-1.60u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Samger FC - Steve Biko FC | 2.50 | 0.03% |
| LOSS | Monte Roraima - Sao Raimundo RR | 2.63 | 0.03% |
| LOSS | Dinamo Tbilisi - Torpedo Kutaisi | 2.55 | 0.03% |
| LOSS | Colchagua CD - Santiago Morning | 2.63 | 0.03% |
| LOSS | Deportivo Armenio - CS Dock Sud | 2.70 | 0.03% |
| LOSS | GKS Belchatow - Jagiellonia Bialystok II | 2.60 | 0.03% |
| LOSS | North Star - Logan Lightning | 2.63 | 0.03% |
| LOSS | Horsholm-Usserod IK - Bronshoj BK | 2.50 | 0.03% |
Pick
1 @ 2.55
Kickoff
Mag 23, 2026 10:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.03% • n=612
Start
Started 3d 3h ago
Updated
Updated 5d 1h ago