Velago Ikoma – Arterivo Wakayama

Model: TIPPSH

Velago Ikoma vs Arterivo Wakayama

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 28, 2026 1:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 45d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 13.35% · n=48
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 13.35% · n=48
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 45d 15h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Velago Ikoma. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Velago IkomaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

85/100
Excellent value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.80First seen
Current3.62Now
Max odds4.80Highest point
Min odds2.80Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Velago IkomaHOME
VS
Arterivo WakayamaAWAY
DLDWW
Recent form
DDDD
Avg goals scored
1.80
0.75
Defensive weakness
1.20
0.75
Shots on target for
5.40
3.50
SoT conceded pressure
3.20
6.50
Home splitD-W-L1.67 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitD-D-D-D0.75 scored / 0.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.50. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 13.35% based on n=48 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Japan Regional League (jp). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.50
V2 BandELITEROI 13.35% · n=48
V4 BandELITEROI 13.35% · n=48
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Velago Ikoma. The ELITE confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Velago Ikoma's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 4.6% 7D: -11.2% 15D: -4.4% 30D: -3.3%
Model insight

Velago Ikoma – Arterivo Wakayama Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.50. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 13.35% and 13.35%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample8
Win Rate50.0%
Profit+5.54u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINStirling - Cove Rangers3.388.08%
LOSSSochaux - St Etienne3.628.08%
WINRodina Moscow - Rubin Kazan3.308.08%
LOSSExeter - Bristol City3.268.08%
WINSK Olympia Rajecko - Zdar nad Sazavou3.3013.35%
WINSporting Kansas City II - Minnesota United FC II3.5613.35%
LOSSCriciuma U20 - Palmeiras U203.5813.35%
LOSSDimas Escazu (W) - Saprissa (W)3.6712.25%
Pick
1 @ 3.50
Kickoff
Giu 28, 2026 1:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: ELITE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 13.35% • n=48
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
13.35% • n=48
Start
Started 45d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 45d 15h ago
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