Model: TIPPSH
Falkenbergs FF – IFK Varnamo
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.23
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 23, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultWIN3 - 1
StartStarted 17d 15h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 17d 18h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Falkenbergs FF | IFK Varnamo |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-W-L-D-W | L-D-L-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| Home/Away form | W-L-W-W-D (home) | L-L-L-W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.20 scored / 1.00 conceded | 1.20 scored / 3.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.80 for / 3.60 against | 3.40 for / 6.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.00 for / 3.20 against (home) | 3.40 for / 7.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Falkenbergs FF's attacking profile.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 43.6%
7D: 23.1%
15D: 7.6%
30D: 1.4%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.32First seen
Current2.23Now
Max odds2.33Highest point
Min odds2.20Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Falkenbergs FF – IFK Varnamo Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.23. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample120
Win Rate49.2%
Profit+8.05u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Angelholm - BK Olympic | 2.12 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Sokol Kleczew - Gornik Polkowice | 2.10 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Melbourne Victory NPL - Brunswick Juventus | 2.43 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Club Atletico Progreso Reserves - Boston River Reserves | 2.14 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Sao Joao del Rei U20 - Betim FC U20 | 2.43 | 1.59% |
| WIN | CAPS United - ZPC Kariba FC | 2.06 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Orlicz Suchedniow - Klimontowianka Klimontow | 2.41 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | JS Massira - US Amal Tiznit | 2.28 | 1.59% |
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Canberra Olympic - Canberra Juventus | 1 | 2.21 | 1.04% | 10 Jun 11:30 |
| Cape Town City - Magesi FC | 1 | 2.15 | 1.04% | 10 Jun 15:00 |
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| Sandvikens IF - IK Brage | 1 | 2.20 | 1.04% | 14 Jun 17:00 |
| MP - Klubi-04 | 1 | 2.16 | 1.04% | 14 Jun 17:30 |
| Patronato Parana - Atletico Rafaela | 1 | 2.01 | 1.04% | 14 Jun 20:30 |
| Botafogo SP - Operario PR | 1 | 2.18 | 1.04% | 15 Jun 00:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.23
Kickoff
Mag 23, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 17d 15h ago
Updated
Updated 17d 18h ago