Model: TIPPSH
Malaga vs Las Palmas
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.13
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 10, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 53d 4h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 55d 22h ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Malaga. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: MalagaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
30/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.08First seen
Current2.13Now
Max odds2.13Highest point
Min odds2.08Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
MalagaHOME
VS
Las PalmasAWAY
DWWDW
Recent form
DLWDW
Avg goals scored
1.80
1.20
Defensive weakness
0.60
1.00
Shots on target for
5.80
5.40
SoT conceded pressure
3.60
3.80
Home splitD-D-W-L-W1.60 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitD-W-W-L-W1.60 scored / 1.80 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.13. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Segunda (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.13
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Malaga. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -13.4%
7D: -7.8%
15D: -0.9%
30D: 12.3%
Model insight
Malaga – Las Palmas Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.13. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample425
Win Rate47.3%
Profit-5.85u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Real Frontera - Atletico El Vigia | 2.04 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Bollstanäs SK - IK Franke | 2.10 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Aragua - Bolivar SC | 2.30 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Spartak Pleven - Marek Dupnitsa | 2.22 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Sunderland - Wrexham | 1.92 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Darmstadt - Portsmouth | 1.91 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Lens - Villarreal | 2.04 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Real Sociedad B - Huesca | 2.14 | 1.31% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Lanus - Instituto AC Cordoba | 1 | 2.20 | 1.04% | 03 Aug 02:30 |
| Chrobry Glogow - Odra Opole | 1 | 2.25 | 1.59% | 03 Aug 19:00 |
| Racing Club (W) - Boca Juniors (W) | 1 | 2.16 | 1.31% | 03 Aug 20:00 |
| Llaneros - Fortaleza CEIF | 1 | 2.11 | 1.31% | 04 Aug 23:10 |
| Quilmes - Gimnasia Jujuy | 1 | 1.94 | 1.04% | 06 Aug 01:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.13
Kickoff
Giu 10, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 53d 4h ago
Updated
Updated 55d 22h ago