Patronato Parana – Atletico Rafaela

Model: TIPPSH

Patronato Parana vs Atletico Rafaela

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.12
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 14, 2026 10:30 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 50d ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 50d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Patronato Parana. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Patronato ParanaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

30/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.01First seen
Current2.12Now
Max odds2.12Highest point
Min odds2.01Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Patronato ParanaHOME
VS
Atletico RafaelaAWAY
DDDLW
Recent form
DWLWL
Avg goals scored
0.80
0.40
Defensive weakness
0.60
0.80
Shots on target for
3.40
3.80
SoT conceded pressure
2.00
5.40
Home splitD-D-W-W-D1.00 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitD-L-L-L-D0.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.12. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Nacional B (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.12
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 66.8% 7D: -1.6% 15D: 2.1% 30D: 15.2%
Model insight

Patronato Parana – Atletico Rafaela Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.12. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample430
Win Rate46.7%
Profit-11.75u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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WINAragua - Bolivar SC2.301.59%
WINSpartak Pleven - Marek Dupnitsa2.221.04%
WINSunderland - Wrexham1.921.04%
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Pick
1 @ 2.12
Kickoff
Giu 14, 2026 10:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 50d ago
Updated
Updated 50d 2h ago
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