FBK Karlstad – FC Arlanda

Model: TipTromba35H

FBK Karlstad vs FC Arlanda

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 23, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 48d 17h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.01% · n=821
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 48d 23h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FBK Karlstad. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FBK Karlstad

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

35/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.50First seen
Current3.00Now
Max odds3.00Highest point
Min odds2.45Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FBK KarlstadHOME
VS
FC ArlandaAWAY
DDWWW
Recent form
DDDDW
Avg goals scored
2.00
0.80
Defensive weakness
0.40
0.60
Shots on target for
6.00
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
1.60
3.60
Home splitD-D-W-W-W1.20 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitD-D-W-W-W2.00 scored / 0.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.00. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.01% based on n=821 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden 1.div Norra (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.00
V2 BandLOWROI 0.01% · n=821
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, FBK Karlstad has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. FBK Karlstad has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 34.1% 7D: 31.8% 15D: 22.3% 30D: 7.7%
Model insight

FBK Karlstad – FC Arlanda Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.01% across 821 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Connecticut Legends (W) - New England Mutiny (W)13.200.01%11 Jul 22:00
Pick
1 @ 3.00
Kickoff
Mag 23, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.01% • n=821
Start
Started 48d 17h ago
Updated
Updated 48d 23h ago
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