Model: TipTromba35H
FBK Karlstad – FC Arlanda
PREDICTION
1
@ 3.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 23, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 3d 7h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.01% · n=821
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3d 13h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | FBK Karlstad | FC Arlanda |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-D-W-W-W | D-D-D-D-W |
| Avg goals scored | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Home/Away form | D-D-W-W-W (home) | D-D-W-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.20 scored / 0.40 conceded | 2.00 scored / 0.40 conceded |
| Shots on target | 6.00 for / 1.60 against | 4.60 for / 3.60 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.00 for / 2.00 against (home) | 6.00 for / 4.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, FBK Karlstad shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. FBK Karlstad has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.50First seen
Current3.00Now
Max odds3.00Highest point
Min odds2.45Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
FBK Karlstad – FC Arlanda Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.01% across 821 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample28
Win Rate17.9%
Profit-12.49u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC - Meizhou Hakka | 3.00 | 0.01% |
| WIN | Fram Reykjavik (W) - Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | 3.12 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | HB Køge - Hobro IK | 3.01 | 0.01% |
| WIN | CD Coria - Real Oviedo B | 3.10 | 0.01% |
| WIN | AS Kariya - Gakunan F Mosuperio | 3.00 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | Podhale Nowy Targ - Warta Poznan | 3.02 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | Thai Nguyen (W) - Ha Noi (W) | 3.00 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | Subiaco AFC Reserves - Curtin University SC Reserves | 3.00 | 0.01% |
Pick
1 @ 3.00
Kickoff
Mag 23, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.01% • n=821
Start
Started 3d 7h ago
Updated
Updated 3d 13h ago