Gremio Novorizontino vs Ceara
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Ceara. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: CearaValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.06. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.99% based on n=49 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie B (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Ceara. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.
Gremio Novorizontino – Ceara Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Ituano - Figueirense | 3.81 | 2.78% |
| LOSS | Sarpsborg 08 U19 - KFUM U19 | 3.89 | 3.99% |
| LOSS | Vaxjo (W) - IK Uppsala (W) | 4.17 | 3.92% |
| LOSS | USA - Paraguay | 3.97 | 3.92% |
| LOSS | Askoe Oedt - Deutschlandsberger SC | 4.04 | 2.78% |
| LOSS | Junior - Independiente Santa Fe | 4.10 | 3.92% |
| LOSS | Cerezo Osaka - V-Varen Nagasaki | 4.10 | 3.07% |
| WIN | Jacuipense - Imperatriz | 3.97 | 3.07% |