Racing Santander vs Villarreal
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Villarreal. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: VillarrealGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.093 | A: -0.073Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.08. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.84% based on n=515 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain La Liga (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Villarreal a useful statistical edge. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Villarreal is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Racing Santander – Villarreal Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Follo - Rana FK | 2.09 | -0.84% |
| WIN | Baltika Kaliningrad - Spartak Moscow | 2.05 | -0.84% |
| LOSS | Platense - Boca Juniors | 2.03 | -0.84% |
| LOSS | Fuerte San Francisco - AD Isidro Metapan | 2.05 | -0.84% |
| WIN | FF Jaro II - Huima/Urho | 2.08 | -0.84% |
| LOSS | UE Olot - UE Sant Andreu | 2.09 | -0.84% |
| WIN | Macarthur Rams - Blacktown Spartans | 2.17 | -0.84% |
| WIN | Zhejiang - Chengdu Rongcheng | 2.20 | -0.84% |