Logan Lightning (W) – Palm Beach SC (W)

Model: TIPPSA

Logan Lightning (W) vs Palm Beach SC (W)

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.03
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 26, 2026 1:30 PM
ResultLOSS4 - 3
StartStarted 46d 5h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.76% · n=235
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 46d 16h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Palm Beach SC (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Palm Beach SC (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

19/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.90First seen
Current2.07Now
Max odds2.10Highest point
Min odds1.90Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Logan Lightning (W)HOME
VS
Palm Beach SC (W)AWAY
WWWLL
Recent form
LWLLD
Avg goals scored
2.00
1.60
Defensive weakness
3.80
1.80
Shots on target for
7.60
8.67
SoT conceded pressure
10.00
7.67
Home splitW-W-L2.67 scored / 3.00 conceded
Away splitL-D1.50 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.03. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.76% based on n=235 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Queensland Premier League Women (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.03
V2 BandNONEROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 BandNONEROI -1.76% · n=235
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Palm Beach SC (W)'s attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 4.4% 7D: 31.1% 15D: 25.6% 30D: 7.3%
Model insight

Logan Lightning (W) – Palm Beach SC (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.03. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -0.84% and -1.76%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample36
Win Rate44.4%
Profit-1.89u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSDrogheda United - Shelbourne2.06-0.84%
WINFenix - Leones de Rosario2.14-0.84%
LOSSMoreton City Excelsior (W) - Palm Beach SC (W)2.13-0.84%
WINHPS - Kiffen2.22-0.84%
WINOlimpia Elblag II - DKS Dobre Miasto2.08-0.84%
LOSSPanama - Bosnia-Herzegovina2.14-0.84%
LOSSUCD II - Ballymun United2.09-0.84%
LOSSCEFAT Tirol - Ferroviario2.14-0.84%
Pick
2 @ 2.03
Kickoff
Mag 26, 2026 1:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.84% • n=515
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.76% • n=235
Start
Started 46d 5h ago
Updated
Updated 46d 16h ago
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