FC Elimai Semey – FK Atyrau

Model: TIPPSH

FC Elimai Semey vs FK Atyrau

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.98
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 21, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 48d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 48d 9h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Elimai Semey. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC Elimai SemeyGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

36/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.74First seen
Current1.98Now
Max odds1.98Highest point
Min odds1.62Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC Elimai SemeyHOME
VS
FK AtyrauAWAY
LLWWD
Recent form
WDDDD
Avg goals scored
1.80
1.00
Defensive weakness
2.00
0.80
Shots on target for
8.00
3.60
SoT conceded pressure
5.60
3.80
Home splitL-L-W-L-D1.20 scored / 1.80 conceded
Away splitW-D-D-D-D1.00 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.98. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Kazakhstan Premier League (kz). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.98
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. FC Elimai Semey has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 17.8% 7D: 5.0% 15D: -1.3% 30D: 7.7%
Model insight

FC Elimai Semey – FK Atyrau Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.98. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample366
Win Rate50.5%
Profit-4.10u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINBFC Daugavpils - Tukums 20001.753.37%
LOSSRennes - Brentford2.063.37%
WINPorthmadog - Rhyl2.103.37%
WINBayern Munich - Aston Villa1.923.37%
WINGold Coast Knights (W) - Brisbane City (W)2.203.37%
WINTäfteå IK - Gottne IF2.193.37%
LOSSFC Yaypan Fergana - Fardu Ferghana2.153.37%
LOSSBeitar Jerusalem - AEK Larnaca1.953.37%
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Pick
1 @ 1.98
Kickoff
Giu 21, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.37% • n=795
Start
Started 48d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 48d 9h ago
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