Model: TipTromba2H
FC Elimai Semey – FK Kaspyi Aktau
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.53
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 09, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 17d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.05% · n=992
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.05% · n=992
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 18d 9h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | FC Elimai Semey | FK Kaspyi Aktau |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-L-D-D | W-W-L-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Home/Away form | L-D-W (home) | W-L-L-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded | 0.40 scored / 1.80 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.40 for / 5.60 against | 2.60 for / 4.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 6.33 for / 3.67 against (home) | 2.33 for / 5.33 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
At a short price, the selection appears more probability-based than value-driven. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to FC Elimai Semey's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.56First seen
Current1.54Now
Max odds1.56Highest point
Min odds1.49Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
FC Elimai Semey – FK Kaspyi Aktau Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.53. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.05% and -1.05%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample234
Win Rate64.1%
Profit+7.90u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | LSK Kvinner (W) - Honefoss (W) | 1.65 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | Sotra - Bjarg | 1.53 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Haukar (W) - Selfoss (W) | 1.57 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | CD Tenerife Academia Panama - Olimpo FC | 1.67 | -3.82% |
| WIN | Arka Gdynia II - LKS Pogon Lebork | 1.73 | -3.82% |
| WIN | Minnesota United FC II - Colorado Rapids II | 1.55 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Pelister Bitola - KF Bashkimi | 1.50 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | Bay FC (W) - Chicago Stars (W) | 1.60 | -3.38% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Gap NPL (W) - Virginia United SC (W) | 1 | 1.57 | -1.89% | 27 May 12:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Instituto AC Cordoba Reserves | 1 | 1.53 | -1.89% | 27 May 20:00 |
| FCM Traiskirchen - Neusiedl | 1 | 1.50 | -1.89% | 28 May 19:00 |
| Heidelberg Utd - Dandenong Thunder | 1 | 1.62 | -1.89% | 29 May 11:30 |
| Keilor Park - Kingston City | 1 | 1.50 | -1.89% | 29 May 11:45 |
| Shelbourne - Galway United | 1 | 1.60 | -1.89% | 29 May 20:45 |
| Caroline Springs George Cross FC - Green Gully | 1 | 1.60 | -3.38% | 30 May 10:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.53
Kickoff
Mag 09, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.05% • n=992
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.05% • n=992
Start
Started 17d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 18d 9h ago