FC Groningen U21 vs De Graafschap U21
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is FC Groningen U21. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: FC Groningen U21Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.88. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Netherlands U21 League (nl). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
FC Groningen U21 – De Graafschap U21 Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls | 1.75 | 1.31% |
| WIN | RB Keflavik - KB Breidholt | 1.96 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Velez Sarsfield Reserves - CA Talleres de Córdoba Reserves | 1.85 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Penarol Reserves - Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves | 2.13 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Flint City Bucks - Steel City | 1.81 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Arsenal Tula - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 1.79 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Macara - Deportivo Cuenca | 2.01 | 1.04% |
| WIN | South East United FC - Launceston United | 1.95 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Fujian Nanan (W) - Dalian (W) | 1 | 1.85 | 1.04% | 23 Jul 08:00 |
| Vysocina Jihlava - Viktoria Zizkov | 1 | 2.06 | 1.04% | 24 Jul 18:00 |
| New York Red Bulls II - Crown Legacy | 1 | 2.09 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 01:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 02:00 |
| KuPS Kuopio - VPS Vaasa | 1 | 1.83 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 16:00 |
| FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova - MFK Zemplin Michalovce | 1 | 1.79 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 20:30 |
| Millonarios - Atletico Bucaramanga | 1 | 1.88 | 1.31% | 26 Jul 01:10 |