Model: TipTromba9H

FC La Calzada vs Mirandes

PREDICTION

@ 8.50

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 19, 2026 9:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1h 12m

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -6.42% · n=23

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 5h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC La Calzada. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC La CalzadaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: -0.035

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds8.50First seen

Current8.50Now

Max odds8.50Highest point

Min odds8.50Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC La CalzadaHOME

MirandesAWAY

LWLDD

Recent form

WLLWD

Avg goals scored

0.80

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.40

1.20

Shots on target for

5.00

5.40

SoT conceded pressure

7.00

4.60

Home splitL-W-D-W1.50 scored / 1.75 conceded

Away splitW-L-L-D-L1.00 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 8.50. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -6.42% based on n=23 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd8.50

V2 BandNONEROI -6.42% · n=23

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor FC La Calzada. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: 23.3% 7D: -11.6% 15D: -0.2% 30D: 3.1%

Model insight

FC La Calzada – Mirandes Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 8.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba9H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -6.42% across 23 similar predictions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample43

Win Rate2.3%

Profit-34.50u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Fiorentina (W) - Man City (W)	8.50	-0.15%
LOSS	SC Campo Mourao - CE Uniao	8.50	-0.15%
LOSS	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Shakhtar Donetsk	8.50	-6.42%
LOSS	Shirak - FC Noah	8.50	-6.42%
WIN	El Nacional - Club 9 de Octubre	8.50	-6.05%
LOSS	UNSAAC (W) - Atletico Andahuaylas (W)	8.50	-6.05%
LOSS	Holstebro - AaB	8.50	-7.07%
LOSS	Moldova Beach - Italy Beach	8.50	-0.15%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
FC Jurong (W) - Hang Yuan FC (W)	1	8.50	-6.05%	20 Aug 14:30

Pick

1 @ 8.50

Kickoff

Ago 19, 2026 9:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -6.42% • n=23

Start

Starts in 1h 12m

Updated

Updated 1d 5h ago