Model: TIPPSH

FC Lahti vs TPS

PREDICTION

@ 1.83

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 23, 2026 7:00 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 0

StartStarted 41d 13h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 41d 15h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Lahti. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC LahtiGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

34/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.86First seen

Current1.83Now

Max odds1.86Highest point

Min odds1.81Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC LahtiHOME

TPSAWAY

DLLLW

Recent form

DLLWL

Avg goals scored

1.80

0.40

Defensive weakness

1.80

0.80

Shots on target for

5.60

4.20

SoT conceded pressure

5.20

6.20

Home splitD-L-W-D-W2.20 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitD-L-L-L-L0.20 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.83. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Veikkausliiga (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.83

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. FC Lahti is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: 5.7% 7D: -5.6% 15D: -4.0% 30D: 8.7%

Model insight

FC Lahti – TPS Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.83. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample276

Win Rate52.5%

Profit+0.41u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Beitar Jerusalem - AEK Larnaca	1.95	3.37%
WIN	Sekhukhune United FC - Durban City	1.88	3.37%
LOSS	Feyenoord - Rayo Vallecano	2.08	3.37%
WIN	Ajax - Burnley	2.04	3.37%
WIN	Ponte Preta U20 - Uniao Suzano AC U20	1.81	3.37%
WIN	Queen's Park - Queen of South	2.01	3.37%
WIN	Ljungskile - Sandvikens IF	1.94	3.37%
WIN	CS Corvinul Hunedoara - FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc	2.05	3.37%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz	1	1.98	4.86%	09 May 13:00
FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina	1	1.93	2.30%	10 May 19:00

Pick

1 @ 1.83

Kickoff

Giu 23, 2026 7:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

3.37% • n=795

Start

Started 41d 13h ago

Updated

Updated 41d 15h ago