Adelaide University (W) – MetroStars (W)

Model: TIPPSH

Adelaide University (W) vs MetroStars (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.73
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 19, 2026 12:45 PM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 46d 22h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 47d 4h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Adelaide University (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Adelaide University (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

4/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.47First seen
Current1.73Now
Max odds2.40Highest point
Min odds1.22Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Adelaide University (W)HOME
VS
MetroStars (W)AWAY
WWLDL
Recent form
LLLLL
Avg goals scored
1.60
0.60
Defensive weakness
1.80
3.60
Shots on target for
4.40
3.60
SoT conceded pressure
7.20
9.20
Home splitW-L-D-L1.00 scored / 2.25 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-W-L0.80 scored / 2.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.73. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -7.35% based on n=1010 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia SA Premier League Women (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.73
V2 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010
V4 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 5.7% 7D: -5.6% 15D: -4.0% 30D: 8.7%
Model insight

Adelaide University (W) – MetroStars (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.73. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -7.35% and -7.35%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample292
Win Rate59.2%
Profit-1.17u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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WINHammarby TFF - FC Arlanda1.63-7.35%
WINOlimpia Asuncion - Rubio Nu1.75-9.21%
WINFC Nordsjaelland - Randers FC1.65-6.04%
WINQviding FIF - BK Astrio1.62-10.11%
WINDeportivo Santaní - Encarnacion FC1.70-7.35%
WINLegia Warsaw - Zaglebie Lubin1.62-7.35%
WINBocas - Veraguas United Reserves1.63-10.11%
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Pick
1 @ 1.73
Kickoff
Giu 19, 2026 12:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -7.35% • n=1010
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-7.35% • n=1010
Start
Started 46d 22h ago
Updated
Updated 47d 4h ago
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