FC Lustenau – Hohenems

Model: TIPPSA

FC Lustenau vs Hohenems

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.20
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 04, 2026 1:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 48d 10h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.76% · n=235
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 48d 14h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Hohenems. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: HohenemsGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

21/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.22First seen
Current2.38Now
Max odds2.45Highest point
Min odds2.20Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC LustenauHOME
VS
HohenemsAWAY
DLDLL
Recent form
DLWLD
Avg goals scored
1.40
2.20
Defensive weakness
3.00
2.40
Shots on target for
5.40
8.40
SoT conceded pressure
8.40
4.00
Home splitD-D-L-L1.50 scored / 2.50 conceded
Away splitD-L-D-L-W1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.20. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.76% based on n=235 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Austria Regionalliga West (at). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.20
V2 BandNONEROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 BandNONEROI -1.76% · n=235
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Hohenems is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 7.2% 7D: 7.4% 15D: 21.0% 30D: 14.2%
Model insight

FC Lustenau – Hohenems Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.20. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -0.84% and -1.76%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample45
Win Rate44.4%
Profit-2.37u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSNingbo Professional U20 - Hubei Istar U202.05-0.84%
LOSSPittsburgh Riverhounds - Louisville City FC2.21-0.84%
LOSSAthlone Town U20 - Derry City U202.24-0.84%
WINFinn Harps - Bray Wanderers2.08-0.84%
WINSpartak Moscow U19 - Lokomotiv Moscow U192.21-0.84%
LOSSFC Nordsjaelland - Sparta Prague2.17-0.84%
LOSSBATE Borisov - AF Elbasani2.20-0.84%
WINPuskas Academy - Istanbul Basaksehir2.03-0.84%
Pick
2 @ 2.20
Kickoff
Giu 04, 2026 1:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.84% • n=515
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.76% • n=235
Start
Started 48d 10h ago
Updated
Updated 48d 14h ago
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