Model: TIPPSH

FC Tallinn vs FC Flora Tallinn II

PREDICTION

@ 3.90

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 01, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultWIN1 - 0

StartStarted 21h 19m ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.87% · n=129

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 1h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Tallinn. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC TallinnGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.008 | A: 0.071

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

62/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds4.91First seen

Current4.50Now

Max odds5.17Highest point

Min odds4.50Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC TallinnHOME

FC Flora Tallinn IIAWAY

WWWLW

Recent form

LWDLD

Avg goals scored

2.20

1.40

Defensive weakness

1.40

1.00

Shots on target for

5.80

6.00

SoT conceded pressure

3.60

4.40

Home splitW-W-L-W-L2.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitL-W-D-D-L1.60 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.90. The V2 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.87% based on n=129 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Estonia Esiliiga (ee). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd3.90

V2 BandHIGHROI 5.87% · n=129

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, FC Tallinn has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The HIGH confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -2.6% 7D: -7.9% 15D: 5.6% 30D: 7.2%

Model insight

FC Tallinn – FC Flora Tallinn II Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.90. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.87% across 129 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample6

Win Rate16.7%

Profit-2.18u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	FK Bumprom - FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	3.94	5.87%
LOSS	Guangxi Hengchen - Shandong Taishan	4.11	5.87%
LOSS	Lyn 1896 U19 - Molde U19	3.90	5.87%
WIN	HUSA Agadir - RSB Berkane	3.82	5.87%
LOSS	El Salvador (W) - Costa Rica (W)	3.70	7.69%
LOSS	Club 9 de Octubre - Manta FC	3.70	7.69%

Pick

1 @ 3.90

Kickoff

Ago 01, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 5.87% • n=129

Start

Started 21h 19m ago

Updated

Updated 1d 1h ago