Model: TipA1

Ferroviario de Nampula vs Black Bulls

PREDICTION

@ 2.35

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 14, 2026 4:45 PM

ResultWIN1 - 3

StartStarted 3h 56m ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.36% · n=530

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.36% · n=530

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 15h 23m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Black Bulls. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Black BullsGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: 0.048

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

51/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.35First seen

Current2.37Now

Max odds2.40Highest point

Min odds2.35Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Ferroviario de NampulaHOME

Black BullsAWAY

LDWWD

Recent form

WWWWD

Avg goals scored

1.40

1.60

Defensive weakness

1.20

0.40

Shots on target for

3.00

6.20

SoT conceded pressure

4.67

2.00

Home splitL-W-W-W-L1.40 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitW-D-D-D-W1.20 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.35. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.36% based on n=530 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Mozambique Mocambola (mz). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.35

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.36% · n=530

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.36% · n=530

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Black Bulls. The model places this selection in a historically favorable confidence range. Black Bulls is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 2.3% 7D: 11.4% 15D: 13.3% 30D: 10.3%

Model insight

Ferroviario de Nampula – Black Bulls Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.35. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.36% and 6.36%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample70

Win Rate42.9%

Profit+3.01u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	FK Buxoro - AGMK	2.55	6.36%
WIN	JK Nomme United - JK Tammeka Tartu	2.55	6.67%
WIN	Bamber Bridge - Avro FC	2.50	6.36%
LOSS	IK Franke - Enskede IK	2.30	6.36%
WIN	Baglan Dragons - Pure Swansea	2.38	6.36%
WIN	Perolas Negras (W) - 3B Sport AM (W)	2.25	7.37%
WIN	Denbigh Town - Bangor 1876 FC	2.50	6.36%
LOSS	Bodens BK FF - Täfteå IK	2.25	7.37%

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Pick

2 @ 2.35

Kickoff

Ago 14, 2026 4:45 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.36% • n=530

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.36% • n=530

Start

Started 3h 56m ago

Updated

Updated 15h 23m ago