FH Hafnarfjordur – KA Akureyri

Model: TIPPSA

FH Hafnarfjordur vs KA Akureyri

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.85
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 2
StartStarted 54d 20h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.31% · n=124
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.31% · n=124
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 54d 23h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is KA Akureyri. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: KA Akureyri

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

56/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.31First seen
Current2.85Now
Max odds2.86Highest point
Min odds2.30Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FH HafnarfjordurHOME
VS
KA AkureyriAWAY
LLDLL
Recent form
WLWWL
Avg goals scored
1.80
1.40
Defensive weakness
3.60
1.00
Shots on target for
4.20
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
6.20
4.80
Home splitL-L2.00 scored / 3.00 conceded
Away splitW-W-D-W2.25 scored / 0.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.85. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.31% based on n=124 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland Premier League (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.85
V2 BandHIGHROI 6.31% · n=124
V4 BandHIGHROI 6.31% · n=124
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for KA Akureyri. Comparable matches classified within the HIGH confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 11.3% 7D: 17.1% 15D: 3.4% 30D: 1.5%
Model insight

FH Hafnarfjordur – KA Akureyri Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.85. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.31% and 6.31%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample26
Win Rate42.3%
Profit+5.63u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSOLS - SalPa2.847.70%
LOSSFC Kitzbuhel - Hohenems2.827.70%
WINMaccabi Panthers Ashdod (W) - FC Ramat Hasharon (W)2.837.70%
LOSSDeportivo Moquegua - AD Tarma2.946.31%
LOSSMadura United - Bali United2.825.70%
LOSSBayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig3.006.31%
WINAubagne Air Bel - Stade Briochin2.765.70%
LOSSNantes (W) - Lyon (W)3.016.31%
Pick
2 @ 2.85
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 6.31% • n=124
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
6.31% • n=124
Start
Started 54d 20h ago
Updated
Updated 54d 23h ago
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