Model: TIPPSA
FH Hafnarfjordur – KA Akureyri
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.85
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 2
StartStarted 9d 3h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.31% · n=124
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.31% · n=124
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9d 6h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | FH Hafnarfjordur | KA Akureyri |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-D-L-L | W-L-W-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.60 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | L-L (home) | W-W-D-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.00 scored / 3.00 conceded | 2.25 scored / 0.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.20 for / 6.20 against | 4.00 for / 4.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 2.50 for / 4.00 against (home) | 3.67 for / 5.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, KA Akureyri shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar HIGH underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.31First seen
Current2.85Now
Max odds2.86Highest point
Min odds2.30Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
FH Hafnarfjordur – KA Akureyri Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.85. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.31% and 6.31%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample25
Win Rate44.0%
Profit+6.63u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | FC Kitzbuhel - Hohenems | 2.82 | 7.70% |
| WIN | Maccabi Panthers Ashdod (W) - FC Ramat Hasharon (W) | 2.83 | 7.70% |
| LOSS | Deportivo Moquegua - AD Tarma | 2.94 | 6.31% |
| LOSS | Madura United - Bali United | 2.82 | 5.70% |
| LOSS | Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig | 3.00 | 6.31% |
| WIN | Aubagne Air Bel - Stade Briochin | 2.76 | 5.70% |
| LOSS | Nantes (W) - Lyon (W) | 3.01 | 6.31% |
| WIN | Strasbourg (W) - Le Havre (W) | 3.02 | 5.70% |
Pick
2 @ 2.85
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 6.31% • n=124
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
6.31% • n=124
Start
Started 9d 3h ago
Updated
Updated 9d 6h ago