Model: TIPPSH
FK Austria Vienna (W) vs SKN St Polten (W)
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.07
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 30, 2026 4:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 53d 3h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 53d 5h ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is FK Austria Vienna (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: FK Austria Vienna (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
30/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.97First seen
Current2.07Now
Max odds2.09Highest point
Min odds1.95Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
FK Austria Vienna (W)HOME
VS
SKN St Polten (W)AWAY
DDWWW
Recent form
DWWWW
Avg goals scored
1.40
2.40
Defensive weakness
0.60
0.60
Shots on target for
4.00
5.00
SoT conceded pressure
1.80
2.33
Home splitD-D-W-W1.50 scored / 0.50 conceded
Away splitD-W-W2.33 scored / 1.00 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.07. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Austria League 1 Women (at). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.07
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium
AI Match Insight
The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 13.0%
7D: 18.7%
15D: 23.4%
30D: 10.6%
Model insight
FK Austria Vienna (W) – SKN St Polten (W) Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.07. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample359
Win Rate47.9%
Profit-7.30u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | FK Sloga Doboj - Ajman SCC | 2.20 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Penarol Reserves - Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves | 2.13 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Al Ansar Beirut - Al Nejmeh | 2.17 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Sao Joao del Rei U20 - Inter De Minas U20 | 2.24 | 1.04% |
| WIN | South East United FC - Launceston United | 1.95 | 1.04% |
| WIN | St Pauli - HNK Gorica | 2.01 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Changchun Dazhong (W) - Sichuan Jiannanchun Women | 2.13 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) - Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) | 2.00 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| RAAL La Louviere - Kifisias FC | 1 | 2.20 | 1.04% | 22 Jul 18:00 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - CA Talleres de Córdoba Reserves | 1 | 1.85 | 1.04% | 22 Jul 20:00 |
| Macara - Deportivo Cuenca | 1 | 2.01 | 1.04% | 22 Jul 21:00 |
| RB Keflavik - KB Breidholt | 1 | 1.96 | 1.04% | 22 Jul 22:00 |
| Hajduk Split - Pafos FC | 1 | 2.26 | 1.59% | 23 Jul 21:00 |
| Athletic Club MG - Sao Bernardo SP | 1 | 2.14 | 1.04% | 24 Jul 00:30 |
Pick
1 @ 2.07
Kickoff
Mag 30, 2026 4:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Started 53d 3h ago
Updated
Updated 53d 5h ago