Pogon Szczecin II vs Gwardia Koszalin
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Pogon Szczecin II. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Pogon Szczecin IIGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.55. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.89% based on n=1157 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Poland IV Liga (pl). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Pogon Szczecin II is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Pogon Szczecin II – Gwardia Koszalin Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Deportivo Alexis Garcia - Sellos Colombianos | 1.50 | -3.82% |
| WIN | Instituto Cordoba U20 - Quilmes U20 | 1.70 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Uitm United - UITM Perlis | 1.53 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | MFK Ruzomberok (W) - KFC Komarno (W) | 1.73 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Stiinta Poli Timisoara - FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia | 1.70 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | Marist FC - SOSA | 1.53 | -1.89% |
| WIN | FK BE1 - FC Hegelmann II | 1.50 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Deportivo Recoleta Reserves - 2 de Mayo Reserves | 1.70 | -1.89% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venezia - Modena | 1 | 1.62 | -1.89% | 15 Aug 20:45 |
| Tigres UANL (W) - Juarez FC (W) | 1 | 1.53 | -1.89% | 16 Aug 03:06 |
| Grange Thistle - Caloundra | 1 | 1.57 | -3.82% | 16 Aug 07:45 |
| FC Stockholm Internazionale - FC Arlanda | 1 | 1.65 | -3.82% | 16 Aug 13:00 |
| Arminia Bielefeld - Cottbus | 1 | 1.73 | -1.89% | 16 Aug 13:30 |
| Coimbra U20 - Boston City FC U20 | 1 | 1.65 | -1.89% | 16 Aug 15:00 |
| Deportivo Santaní - Carapegua | 1 | 1.65 | -3.38% | 16 Aug 15:00 |
| Atvidabergs FF - Skövde AIK | 1 | 1.50 | -1.89% | 16 Aug 16:00 |