FK Egnatia vs Lillestrom
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is FK Egnatia. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: FK EgnatiaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.083 | A: -0.130Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.40. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.14% based on n=423 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UEFA Europa League Qualifying. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
Despite entering the match at a generous price, FK Egnatia has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.
FK Egnatia – Lillestrom Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona - Hapoel Tel Aviv | 3.20 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | El Nacional - San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 3.20 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Aldershot - Hartlepool | 3.25 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Haverfordwest County - Penybont | 3.20 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Espanyol B - CE Europa | 3.25 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | CD Colonia Moscardo - Fuenlabrada | 3.30 | 3.56% |
| WIN | SV Austria Salzburg - First Vienna FC 1894 | 3.41 | 4.14% |
| WIN | HPS (W) - KuPS (W) | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Afula - MS Ashdod | 1 | 3.40 | 4.14% | 18 Aug 18:30 |
| Deportivo Riestra - Gimnasia LP | 1 | 3.32 | 4.14% | 18 Aug 22:00 |
| CS Concordia Chiajna - Otelul Galati | 1 | 3.25 | 3.56% | 19 Aug 19:30 |
| Maastricht - FC Volendam | 1 | 3.40 | 3.56% | 21 Aug 20:00 |