Real Salt Lake – FC Dallas

Model: TIPPSH

Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.89
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 20, 2026 5:30 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 10h
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Real Salt Lake. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Real Salt LakeGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.121 | A: 0.044

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

35/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.87First seen
Current1.89Now
Max odds1.92Highest point
Min odds1.87Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Real Salt LakeHOME
VS
FC DallasAWAY
DWWDD
Recent form
WLWWD
Avg goals scored
2.00
1.20
Defensive weakness
0.60
0.80
Shots on target for
6.00
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
3.40
7.20
Home splitD-W-W-W-W2.80 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitW-L-W-D-L0.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.89. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.89
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Real Salt Lake is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -14.8% 7D: -18.7% 15D: -2.9% 30D: 2.6%
Model insight

Real Salt Lake – FC Dallas Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.89. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample334
Win Rate50.9%
Profit-6.65u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSCesar Vallejo Reserves - Juventud Cautivo2.113.37%
WINSogdiana Jizzakh - Qizilqum Zarafshon1.783.37%
LOSSCriciuma U20 - Chapecoense U202.043.37%
LOSSLokomotiv Plovdiv - Dunav Ruse1.783.37%
LOSSEverton de Vina - Audax Italiano1.963.37%
WINArda Kardzhali - Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia1.833.37%
LOSSDinamo Samarqand - Xorazm Urganch1.763.37%
LOSSMan Utd - AC Milan1.913.37%
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SW Bregenz - Sturm Graz II12.103.37%22 Aug 17:30
Pick
1 @ 1.89
Kickoff
Ago 20, 2026 5:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.37% • n=795
Start
Starts in 1d 10h
Updated
Updated 1d 2h ago
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