Model: TIPPSH
FK Gabala – Araz FK
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.17
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 25, 2026 6:30 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 31d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.31% · n=212
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.31% · n=212
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 31d 8h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | FK Gabala | Araz FK |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-L-W | D-L-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.75 | 2.50 |
| Home/Away form | D-L (home) | D-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.50 scored / 1.00 conceded | 1.00 scored / 1.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.00 for / 2.75 against | 3.25 for / 6.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 1.00 for / 2.00 against (home) | 3.00 for / 4.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.30First seen
Current2.17Now
Max odds2.38Highest point
Min odds2.01Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
FK Gabala – Araz FK Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.17. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.31% and 4.31%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample210
Win Rate45.7%
Profit-13.62u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Bangor Celtic FC - St Mochtas | 2.27 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | AF Chilibre - Deportivo Ana Luisa Flores | 2.12 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Ascoli - Catania | 2.28 | 2.49% |
| WIN | 29 de Septiembre FBC - Club General Martin Ledesma | 2.31 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Central & Western - Hoi King | 2.20 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Kariya - Gakunan F Mosuperio | 2.28 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Leones de Rosario - General Lamadrid | 2.38 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | B36 Torshavn II - Vikingur Gota II | 2.21 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.17
Kickoff
Apr 25, 2026 6:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.31% • n=212
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.31% • n=212
Start
Started 31d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 31d 8h ago