Model: TIPPSA

FK Macva Sabac vs IMT Novi Belgrade

PREDICTION

@ 2.06

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 09, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 0

StartStarted 1h 19m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.76% · n=65

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.76% · n=65

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 3h 23m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is IMT Novi Belgrade. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: IMT Novi BelgradeGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.097 | A: 0.083

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

32/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.83First seen

Current2.06Now

Max odds2.06Highest point

Min odds1.83Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FK Macva SabacHOME

IMT Novi BelgradeAWAY

WLLLL

Recent form

LWWWL

Avg goals scored

0.60

1.40

Defensive weakness

2.40

0.60

Shots on target for

3.00

5.60

SoT conceded pressure

6.60

2.80

Home splitW-L-L-L-W1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitL-W-W-L-W0.80 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.06. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.76% based on n=65 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Serbia Super Liga (rs). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.06

V2 BandLOWROI 1.76% · n=65

V4 BandLOWROI 1.76% · n=65

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to IMT Novi Belgrade's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 1.0% 7D: 6.1% 15D: 8.6% 30D: 9.2%

Model insight

FK Macva Sabac – IMT Novi Belgrade Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.06. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.76% and 1.76%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample102

Win Rate52.0%

Profit+9.19u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Viimsi JK (W) - Paide Linnanaiskond (W)	2.10	1.21%
LOSS	Brighton (W) - PSG (W)	2.25	0.84%
WIN	TSV Havelse - VfB Stuttgart II	2.07	1.21%
WIN	Korona Kielce II - Wisla Krakow II	2.25	0.84%
LOSS	Larne FC - FC Iberia 1999	2.23	1.76%
LOSS	Wexford FC - Bray Wanderers	2.28	0.84%
WIN	Brommapojkarna - Malmo FF	2.08	1.21%
LOSS	Estrela - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2.23	1.21%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Barcelona Guayaquil (W) - LDU Quito (W)	2	2.13	1.21%	09 Aug 22:00

Pick

2 @ 2.06

Kickoff

Ago 09, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.76% • n=65

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.76% • n=65

Start

Started 1h 19m ago

Updated

Updated 3h 23m ago