FK Skopje – Tikves Kavadarci

Model: TipA1

FK Skopje vs Tikves Kavadarci

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.20
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 21, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 17h 30m
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.35% · n=17
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.35% · n=17
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 13m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Tikves Kavadarci. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Tikves KavadarciGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.047 | A: 0.117

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

22/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.73First seen
Current2.20Now
Max odds2.20Highest point
Min odds1.73Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FK SkopjeHOME
VS
Tikves KavadarciAWAY
LDLWW
Recent form
LWWWD
Avg goals scored
1.40
3.00
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.00
Shots on target for
2.80
8.20
SoT conceded pressure
6.60
3.40
Home splitD-W-W-W-L2.80 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitW-W-W-L-W2.80 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.20. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.35% based on n=17 historical similar picks. The match belongs to North Macedonia First League (mk). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.20
V2 BandNONEROI -1.35% · n=17
V4 BandNONEROI -1.35% · n=17
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Tikves Kavadarci's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 72.0% 7D: 4.6% 15D: 2.0% 30D: 3.6%
Model insight

FK Skopje – Tikves Kavadarci Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.20. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.35% and -1.35%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample224
Win Rate48.2%
Profit+0.45u
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WINFC Haka Juniors - TP-T2.10-1.35%
WINLiverpool Montevideo Reserves - Nacional de Montevideo Reserves2.05-3.85%
LOSSTijuana - Cruz Azul2.20-1.48%
LOSSGD Portel - SU Sintrense2.20-1.48%
WINNara Club - Kagoshima United2.20-1.48%
WINSPG Edelserpentin - SV Eberau2.00-1.48%
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Pick
2 @ 2.20
Kickoff
Ago 21, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.35% • n=17
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.35% • n=17
Start
Starts in 17h 30m
Updated
Updated 13m ago
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