Nara Club – Kagoshima United

Model: TipA1

Nara Club vs Kagoshima United

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.20
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 16, 2026 1:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 3
StartStarted 12h 8m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.48% · n=691
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -4.90% · n=286
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 16h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Kagoshima United. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Kagoshima UnitedGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.167 | A: 0.125

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

10/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.27First seen
Current2.20Now
Max odds2.27Highest point
Min odds2.20Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Nara ClubHOME
VS
Kagoshima UnitedAWAY
LLWWW
Recent form
WWWWW
Avg goals scored
2.60
2.40
Defensive weakness
2.20
0.40
Shots on target for
5.60
5.60
SoT conceded pressure
7.80
1.60
Home splitL-W-W-L-D2.20 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitW-W-W-W-L2.20 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.20. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -4.90% based on n=286 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Japan J3-League (jp). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.20
V2 BandNONEROI -1.48% · n=691
V4 BandNONEROI -4.90% · n=286
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Kagoshima United. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -17.7% 7D: -13.4% 15D: 5.2% 30D: 5.1%
Model insight

Nara Club – Kagoshima United Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.20. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.48% and -4.90%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample218
Win Rate47.7%
Profit-2.05u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSGD Portel - SU Sintrense2.20-1.48%
WINSPG Edelserpentin - SV Eberau2.00-1.48%
LOSSSobradinho U20 - Capital CF U202.00-3.85%
WINKFC Komarno B - FK Nove Zamky2.20-3.85%
WINCristobal Colon JAS - 12 de Octubre2.00-1.48%
WINVaxjo (W) - Djurgardens (W)2.10-1.48%
LOSSRiPS - TuPS2.00-1.48%
WINWalton & Hersham - Maidstone Utd2.05-3.85%
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Pick
2 @ 2.20
Kickoff
Ago 16, 2026 1:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.48% • n=691
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-4.90% • n=286
Start
Started 12h 8m ago
Updated
Updated 1d 16h ago
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