Tijuana – Cruz Azul

Model: TipA1

Tijuana vs Cruz Azul

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.20
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 17, 2026 2:45 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 3h
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.48% · n=691
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -4.90% · n=286
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 15m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Cruz Azul. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Cruz AzulGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.076 | A: -0.059

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

10/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.26First seen
Current2.20Now
Max odds2.26Highest point
Min odds2.20Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

TijuanaHOME
VS
Cruz AzulAWAY
LLLDW
Recent form
LWWLW
Avg goals scored
0.40
1.80
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.40
Shots on target for
2.20
6.20
SoT conceded pressure
4.20
4.40
Home splitW-W-W-W2.00 scored / 0.50 conceded
Away splitW-W-D-W-W2.60 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.20. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -4.90% based on n=286 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Mexico Liga MX (mx). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.20
V2 BandNONEROI -1.48% · n=691
V4 BandNONEROI -4.90% · n=286
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Cruz Azul a useful statistical edge. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Cruz Azul's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -11.1% 7D: -14.6% 15D: 4.3% 30D: 6.7%
Model insight

Tijuana – Cruz Azul Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.20. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.48% and -4.90%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample215
Win Rate47.4%
Profit-3.25u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSSobradinho U20 - Capital CF U202.00-3.85%
WINKFC Komarno B - FK Nove Zamky2.20-3.85%
WINCristobal Colon JAS - 12 de Octubre2.00-1.48%
WINVaxjo (W) - Djurgardens (W)2.10-1.48%
LOSSRiPS - TuPS2.00-1.48%
WINWalton & Hersham - Maidstone Utd2.05-3.85%
WINOKS Swit Skolwin - Sandecja Nowy Sacz2.20-1.48%
LOSSFuzesabonyi SC - Nyiregyhaza II2.20-3.85%
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MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
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Orlando City SC - Chicago Fire22.15-1.48%20 Aug 01:30
Pick
2 @ 2.20
Kickoff
Ago 17, 2026 2:45 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.48% • n=691
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-4.90% • n=286
Start
Starts in 1d 3h
Updated
Updated 15m ago
Torna in alto