Tijuana vs Cruz Azul
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Cruz Azul. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Cruz AzulGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.076 | A: -0.059Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.20. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -4.90% based on n=286 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Mexico Liga MX (mx). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Cruz Azul a useful statistical edge. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Cruz Azul's attacking profile.
Tijuana – Cruz Azul Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Sobradinho U20 - Capital CF U20 | 2.00 | -3.85% |
| WIN | KFC Komarno B - FK Nove Zamky | 2.20 | -3.85% |
| WIN | Cristobal Colon JAS - 12 de Octubre | 2.00 | -1.48% |
| WIN | Vaxjo (W) - Djurgardens (W) | 2.10 | -1.48% |
| LOSS | RiPS - TuPS | 2.00 | -1.48% |
| WIN | Walton & Hersham - Maidstone Utd | 2.05 | -3.85% |
| WIN | OKS Swit Skolwin - Sandecja Nowy Sacz | 2.20 | -1.48% |
| LOSS | Fuzesabonyi SC - Nyiregyhaza II | 2.20 | -3.85% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nara Club - Kagoshima United | 2 | 2.20 | -1.48% | 16 Aug 11:00 |
| SPG Edelserpentin - SV Eberau | 2 | 2.00 | -1.48% | 16 Aug 17:00 |
| GD Portel - SU Sintrense | 2 | 2.20 | -1.48% | 16 Aug 18:00 |
| Orlando City SC - Chicago Fire | 2 | 2.15 | -1.48% | 20 Aug 01:30 |