Model: TIPPSH
FK Zhenys vs FK Kaspyi Aktau
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.88
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 28, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 55d 5h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 55d 7h ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is FK Zhenys. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: FK ZhenysGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
27/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.98First seen
Current1.88Now
Max odds1.98Highest point
Min odds1.75Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
FK ZhenysHOME
VS
FK Kaspyi AktauAWAY
WLLWW
Recent form
LDLWW
Avg goals scored
1.60
0.80
Defensive weakness
1.20
0.80
Shots on target for
4.40
3.20
SoT conceded pressure
5.60
3.80
Home splitW-L-W-W-W1.20 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitL-L-W-L-L0.40 scored / 1.40 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.88. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Kazakhstan Premier League (kz). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
Pick1
Odd1.88
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors FK Zhenys. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to FK Zhenys's attacking profile.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 2.1%
7D: 31.0%
15D: 21.2%
30D: 8.2%
Model insight
FK Zhenys – FK Kaspyi Aktau Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.88. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample337
Win Rate47.2%
Profit-29.74u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Velez Sarsfield Reserves - CA Talleres de Córdoba Reserves | 1.85 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Penarol Reserves - Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves | 2.13 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Flint City Bucks - Steel City | 1.81 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Arsenal Tula - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 1.79 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Macara - Deportivo Cuenca | 2.01 | 1.04% |
| WIN | South East United FC - Launceston United | 1.95 | 1.04% |
| WIN | St Pauli - HNK Gorica | 2.01 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Changchun Dazhong (W) - Sichuan Jiannanchun Women | 2.13 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| RB Keflavik - KB Breidholt | 1 | 1.96 | 1.04% | 22 Jul 22:00 |
| SV River Plate - SV Atlantico Deportivo | 1 | 2.00 | 1.04% | 23 Jul 02:30 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 02:00 |
| KuPS Kuopio - VPS Vaasa | 1 | 1.83 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 16:00 |
| FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova - MFK Zemplin Michalovce | 1 | 1.79 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 20:30 |
| Millonarios - Atletico Bucaramanga | 1 | 1.88 | 1.31% | 26 Jul 01:10 |
| Vasco da Gama - Mirassol | 1 | 2.11 | 1.04% | 26 Jul 01:30 |
Pick
1 @ 1.88
Kickoff
Mag 28, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 55d 5h ago
Updated
Updated 55d 7h ago