Model: TIPPSH

Crusaders vs Ballymena Utd

PREDICTION

@ 2.96

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 15, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 4d 15h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.53% · n=669

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 15m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Crusaders. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CrusadersGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.039 | A: 0.168

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

50/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CrusadersHOME

Ballymena UtdAWAY

LWDLW

Recent form

WDDWW

Avg goals scored

1.40

2.20

Defensive weakness

1.00

0.60

Shots on target for

6.40

5.00

SoT conceded pressure

3.80

4.60

Home splitW-D-W-D-W1.40 scored / 0.20 conceded

Away splitW-D-D-W-W2.20 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.96. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.53% based on n=669 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Northern Ireland Premier (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.96

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.53% · n=669

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Crusaders is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -16.3% 7D: -2.6% 15D: 8.3% 30D: 9.5%

Model insight

Crusaders – Ballymena Utd Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.96. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.53% across 669 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample50

Win Rate38.0%

Profit+5.74u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Mineros - Monagas II	2.80	4.53%
WIN	Karpaty Lviv - LNZ Lebedyn	3.07	4.53%
WIN	Bury Town - Halesowen	2.95	4.53%
WIN	Vanraure Hachinohe - Kataller Toyama	2.93	4.53%
LOSS	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj - OFK Petrovac	2.80	4.53%
WIN	FC Rustavi - Torpedo Kutaisi	2.90	4.53%
WIN	Maranhao - Brusque	2.74	2.49%
WIN	AD Isidro Metapan - CD Aguila	2.81	4.53%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Central Espanol Reserves - Liverpool Montevideo Reserves	1	3.09	4.53%	21 Jul 19:00
Cruzeiro - Flamengo	1	3.12	4.53%	13 Aug 02:30
Oaxaca - Tepatitlan FC	1	3.02	4.53%	14 Aug 03:00
Llaneros - Deportes Tolima	1	2.73	2.49%	15 Aug 01:00
Avispa Fukuoka - Cerezo Osaka	1	2.73	3.15%	15 Aug 12:00

Pick

1 @ 2.96

Kickoff

Ago 15, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.53% • n=669

Start

Starts in 4d 15h

Updated

Updated 15m ago