Model: TIPPSH

Oaxaca vs Tepatitlan FC

PREDICTION

@ 3.02

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 14, 2026 5:00 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 4d

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.53% · n=669

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 5m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Oaxaca. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: OaxacaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.032 | A: -0.153

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

51/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

OaxacaHOME

Tepatitlan FCAWAY

WLLWL

Recent form

LLLLW

Avg goals scored

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.60

2.80

Shots on target for

5.00

4.80

SoT conceded pressure

5.00

Home splitL-L0.50 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitL-L-D-D-L0.80 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.02. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.53% based on n=669 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Mexico Liga de Expansion (mx). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd3.02

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.53% · n=669

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Oaxaca has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 2.4% 7D: 6.4% 15D: 10.0% 30D: 9.6%

Model insight

Oaxaca – Tepatitlan FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.02. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.53% across 669 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample45

Win Rate37.8%

Profit+4.93u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Mineros - Monagas II	2.80	4.53%
WIN	Bury Town - Halesowen	2.95	4.53%
WIN	Vanraure Hachinohe - Kataller Toyama	2.93	4.53%
LOSS	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj - OFK Petrovac	2.80	4.53%
WIN	FC Rustavi - Torpedo Kutaisi	2.90	4.53%
WIN	AD Isidro Metapan - CD Aguila	2.81	4.53%
LOSS	Alianza - Atletico Bucaramanga	2.84	4.53%
LOSS	Sonderjyske - Viborg	2.91	4.53%

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Pick

1 @ 3.02

Kickoff

Ago 14, 2026 5:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.53% • n=669

Start

Starts in 4d

Updated

Updated 5m ago