Model: TIPPSH
Vasco da Gama U20 vs Botafogo RJ U20
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.85
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 18, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 5h 20m
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.63% · n=470
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 13m ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Vasco da Gama U20. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Vasco da Gama U20Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
28/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.77First seen
Current1.85Now
Max odds1.85Highest point
Min odds1.75Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Vasco da Gama U20HOME
VS
Botafogo RJ U20AWAY
WWLWD
Recent form
WDLWW
Avg goals scored
1.80
1.60
Defensive weakness
0.40
1.60
Shots on target for
4.40
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
2.80
4.40
Home splitW-W-W-L-L2.80 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitL-W-W-L-D1.60 scored / 1.80 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.85. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.63% based on n=470 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Torneio Otavio Pinto Guimaraes U20 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
Pick1
Odd1.85
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandLOWROI 1.63% · n=470
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 0.9%
7D: -17.9%
15D: -1.1%
30D: 14.2%
Model insight
Vasco da Gama U20 – Botafogo RJ U20 Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.85. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.04% and 1.63%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample301
Win Rate47.5%
Profit-25.45u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Itabirito U20 - Social FC MG U20 | 1.97 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Zrinjski Mostar - HSK Posusje | 1.97 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Springvale White Eagles - Nunawading | 2.04 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Leon - Atlas | 2.06 | 1.04% |
| WIN | One Knoxville SC - Fort Wayne FC | 1.79 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Botafogo - Santos | 2.05 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Caen - Paris 13 Atletico | 1.98 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Perth SC - Western Knights | 1.86 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Inter Lions - Rydalmere Lions FC | 1 | 1.92 | 1.31% | 18 Jul 09:00 |
| Opava - FC Petrzalka | 1 | 2.04 | 1.04% | 18 Jul 16:00 |
| JK Tallinna Kalev - JK Nomme United II | 1 | 1.90 | 1.31% | 18 Jul 18:00 |
| FC Kosice - Diosgyori VTK | 1 | 2.05 | 1.04% | 18 Jul 18:00 |
| Kormakur/Hvot - Dalvik/Reynir | 1 | 2.04 | 1.04% | 18 Jul 19:00 |
| Excursionistas - Argentino Quilmes | 1 | 1.75 | 1.04% | 18 Jul 20:00 |
| Criciuma - Vila Nova | 1 | 1.76 | 1.31% | 18 Jul 21:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.85
Kickoff
Lug 18, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.63% • n=470
Start
Starts in 5h 20m
Updated
Updated 13m ago