Fortuna Dusseldorf vs VfB Stuttgart II
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is VfB Stuttgart II. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: VfB Stuttgart IIGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.112 | A: -0.046Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.07. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.73% based on n=54 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Germany 3. Liga (de). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. VfB Stuttgart II is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Fortuna Dusseldorf – VfB Stuttgart II Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Puebla (W) - Necaxa (W) | 4.05 | 3.92% |
| LOSS | Chelsea - Brighton | 3.93 | 3.92% |
| LOSS | Walsall - Accrington Stanley | 4.23 | 3.92% |
| LOSS | Vardar Skopje - FK Sileks | 4.05 | 3.99% |
| WIN | Alacranes de Durango - Universidad Guadalajara | 3.93 | 3.92% |
| LOSS | Guayaquil City - Club Atletico Libertad | 4.18 | 2.78% |
| LOSS | Athletico Paranaense - Bragantino | 4.19 | 3.92% |
| LOSS | Falkenbergs FF - Norrby IF | 3.85 | 3.92% |