Model: TipTromba3H
Fraser Park – Bankstown City Lions FC
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.90
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 28, 2026 1:30 PM
ResultWIN6 - 2
StartStarted 28d 13h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.38% · n=12
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.38% · n=12
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 28d 23h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Fraser Park | Bankstown City Lions FC |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-W-L-W-W | L-W-W-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 4.60 | 2.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-W (home) | L-W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 6.67 scored / 0.67 conceded | 2.00 scored / 3.33 conceded |
| Shots on target | 12.67 for / 2.33 against | 5.25 for / 5.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 15.00 for / 0.50 against (home) | 5.00 for / 4.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Fraser Park. The HIGH confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results. Fraser Park has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.00First seen
Current2.98Now
Max odds4.07Highest point
Min odds2.98Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Fraser Park – Bankstown City Lions FC Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.90. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.38% and 6.38%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample18
Win Rate50.0%
Profit+7.38u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | FC Honka - VJS Vantaa | 2.90 | 7.34% |
| LOSS | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv - Maccabi Herzliya | 2.90 | 7.34% |
| LOSS | Brooklyn FC - Hartford Athletic | 2.90 | 7.00% |
| LOSS | Amanat Baghdad - Al Kahrabaa | 2.75 | 7.00% |
| WIN | Sao Cristovao U20 - Duque de Caxias U20 | 2.75 | 7.00% |
| WIN | CD Platense - Olancho FC | 2.80 | 7.00% |
| LOSS | Fish United - TP-T | 2.90 | 5.71% |
| WIN | Lyon II - Montpellier II | 2.75 | 5.71% |
Pick
1 @ 2.90
Kickoff
Apr 28, 2026 1:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 6.38% • n=12
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
6.38% • n=12
Start
Started 28d 13h ago
Updated
Updated 28d 23h ago