Gangneung City – Changwon City

Model: TIPPSH

Gangneung City vs Changwon City

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.16
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 30, 2026 9:00 AM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 56d 10h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 56d 12h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Gangneung City. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Gangneung CityGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

52/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.90First seen
Current3.16Now
Max odds3.16Highest point
Min odds2.90Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Gangneung CityHOME
VS
Changwon CityAWAY
LWDLL
Recent form
WDWDL
Avg goals scored
0.60
0.80
Defensive weakness
1.40
0.40
Shots on target for
4.00
2.60
SoT conceded pressure
4.20
5.40
Home splitL-L-L-W0.75 scored / 1.50 conceded
Away splitW-D-D-L-L0.40 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.16. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.53% based on n=669 historical similar picks. The match belongs to South Korea K3 League (kr). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.16
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Gangneung City has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 22.7% 7D: 27.1% 15D: 24.2% 30D: 9.9%
Model insight

Gangneung City – Changwon City Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.16. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.53% across 669 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample12
Win Rate41.7%
Profit+3.06u
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LOSSFC Struga Trim & Lum - FC Dinamo City2.994.53%
WINAtlantis FC/PM - Tips Vantaa2.984.53%
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Pick
1 @ 3.16
Kickoff
Mag 30, 2026 9:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.53% • n=669
Start
Started 56d 10h ago
Updated
Updated 56d 12h ago
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