Model: TIPPSH
Gangneung City – Changwon City
PREDICTION
1
@ 3.16
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 30, 2026 9:00 AM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 3d 10h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3d 12h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Gangneung City | Changwon City |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-D-L-L | W-D-W-D-L |
| Avg goals scored | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Home/Away form | L-L-L-W (home) | W-D-D-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.75 scored / 1.50 conceded | 0.40 scored / 0.60 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.00 for / 4.20 against | 2.60 for / 5.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.00 for / 5.67 against (home) | 1.80 for / 5.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Gangneung City has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 22.7%
7D: 27.1%
15D: 24.2%
30D: 9.9%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.90First seen
Current3.16Now
Max odds3.16Highest point
Min odds2.90Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Gangneung City – Changwon City Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.16. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.53% across 669 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample3
Win Rate0.0%
Profit-3.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | FC Atlético Cearense - Piaui | 3.21 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | SC Weiz - Askoe Oedt | 3.04 | 4.53% |
Pick
1 @ 3.16
Kickoff
Mag 30, 2026 9:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.53% • n=669
Start
Started 3d 10h ago
Updated
Updated 3d 12h ago