Gold Coast United U23 – Peninsula Power U23

Model: TIPPSA

Gold Coast United U23 vs Peninsula Power U23

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.61
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 30, 2026 6:45 AM
ResultWIN2 - 4
StartStarted 56d 10h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 56d 12h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Peninsula Power U23. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Peninsula Power U23Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

34/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.34First seen
Current2.80Now
Max odds3.29Highest point
Min odds2.34Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Gold Coast United U23HOME
VS
Peninsula Power U23AWAY
LDLLW
Recent form
WDLLL
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.60
Defensive weakness
2.40
2.20
Shots on target for
2.80
5.60
SoT conceded pressure
6.20
6.00
Home splitL-D1.50 scored / 2.50 conceded
Away splitW-L2.00 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.61. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.84% based on n=717 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia NPL Queensland U23 (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.61
V2 BandLOWROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Peninsula Power U23 is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 22.7% 7D: 27.1% 15D: 24.2% 30D: 9.9%
Model insight

Gold Coast United U23 – Peninsula Power U23 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.61. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample40
Win Rate35.0%
Profit-4.51u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSJeonnam Dragons - Gyeongnam FC2.660.84%
LOSSThrottur Reykjavik (W) - IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)2.680.84%
LOSSTreaty United FC - Athlone Town2.620.84%
LOSSWaldhof Mannheim - FC Liefering2.510.84%
LOSSArgentino Merlo - Deportivo Armenio2.720.84%
LOSSHolstein Kiel - Al Ahli Jeddah2.420.84%
LOSSMontevideo Wanderers Reserves - Penarol Reserves2.590.84%
WINKhangarid Klub - Deren FC2.630.84%
Pick
2 @ 2.61
Kickoff
Mag 30, 2026 6:45 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717
Start
Started 56d 10h ago
Updated
Updated 56d 12h ago
Torna in alto