Gernika vs Alaves B
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Alaves B. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Alaves BValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.35. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.40% based on n=230 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Alaves B is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Gernika – Alaves B Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Craigavon City (W) - Ballymoney United (W) | 2.34 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | Union La Calera - Universidad de Chile | 2.29 | 3.59% |
| WIN | Chongqing Tonglianglong - Beijing Guoan | 2.52 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | Deportes Recoleta - San Luis Quillota | 2.56 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | IF Gnistan - SJK | 2.51 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | Lech Poznan UAM (W) - Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) | 2.25 | 3.59% |
| LOSS | Chrobry Glogow - LKS Lodz | 2.19 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | SC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva | 2.25 | 3.43% |