Simba Sports Club vs Coastal Union
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Simba Sports Club. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Simba Sports ClubGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.50. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.38% based on n=1115 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Tanzania Cup (tz). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Simba Sports Club is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Simba Sports Club – Coastal Union Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Ironi Modiin | 1.62 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | Brodd - Stabaek 2 | 1.70 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Cerro Porteno Reserves - Sportivo Luqueno Reserves | 1.62 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | Viimsi JK - JK Tallinna Kalev | 1.67 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | Itaquaquecetuba U23 - America SP U23 | 1.67 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Penarol (W) - Defensor Sporting (W) | 1.60 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | Real Potosi - GV San Jose | 1.50 | -1.89% |
| WIN | AD Sarchi - AD Cofutpa | 1.57 | -3.82% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota United - Juarez FC | 1 | 1.70 | -3.38% | 05 Aug 02:30 |
| Toluca - Seattle Sounders | 1 | 1.73 | -1.89% | 06 Aug 04:00 |
| Mexico U20 - Panama U20 | 1 | 1.50 | -1.89% | 06 Aug 04:00 |
| Club America - San Diego FC | 1 | 1.53 | -3.38% | 07 Aug 04:00 |
| Forge FC - Vancouver FC | 1 | 1.60 | -1.89% | 08 Aug 01:00 |
| Devonport City - Launceston City | 1 | 1.73 | -1.89% | 08 Aug 06:30 |
| Phoenix Rising FC - Loudoun United FC | 1 | 1.62 | -3.38% | 09 Aug 01:00 |