Goias – Vila Nova

Model: TIPPSA

Goias – Vila Nova

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.89
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 09, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 0
StartStarted 17d 7h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.37% · n=115
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 17d 10h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Goias Vila Nova
Last 5 form W-L-L-D-L L-D-W-D-W
Avg goals scored 0.80 1.60
Avg goals conceded 1.80 1.40
Home/Away form W-D-L-W (home) L-W-D-W-D (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded 1.60 scored / 1.40 conceded
Shots on target 2.40 for / 4.20 against 3.40 for / 2.80 against
Home/Away shots on target 2.75 for / 3.25 against (home) 3.60 for / 4.00 against (away)

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Vila Nova has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. Comparable matches classified within the HIGH confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Vila Nova's attacking profile.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.44First seen
Current3.87Now
Max odds3.90Highest point
Min odds3.44Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Goias – Vila Nova Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.89. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.37% across 115 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample10
Win Rate10.0%
Profit-6.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSEspanyol - Levante3.915.37%
LOSSVikingur Reykjavik (W) - Stjarnan (W)3.875.37%
LOSSLDU Quito - SD Aucas3.965.37%
WINMFK Zvolen - Slovan Bratislava B4.005.37%
LOSSIA/Kari/Skall/Viko U19 - Stjarnan/KFG U193.925.37%
LOSSSousa EC - Maguary PE3.755.37%
LOSSZnicz Pruszkow U19 - Resovia Rzeszow U194.035.37%
LOSSSejong SA - Haman3.935.37%
Pick
2 @ 3.89
Kickoff
Mag 09, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.37% • n=115
Start
Started 17d 7h ago
Updated
Updated 17d 10h ago
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