Goias vs Vila Nova
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Vila Nova. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Vila NovaValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.89. The V2 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.37% based on n=115 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie B (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Vila Nova shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The HIGH confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Vila Nova's attacking profile.
Goias – Vila Nova Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Espanyol - Levante | 3.91 | 5.37% |
| LOSS | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) - Stjarnan (W) | 3.87 | 5.37% |
| LOSS | LDU Quito - SD Aucas | 3.96 | 5.37% |
| WIN | MFK Zvolen - Slovan Bratislava B | 4.00 | 5.37% |
| LOSS | IA/Kari/Skall/Viko U19 - Stjarnan/KFG U19 | 3.92 | 5.37% |
| LOSS | Sousa EC - Maguary PE | 3.75 | 5.37% |
| LOSS | Znicz Pruszkow U19 - Resovia Rzeszow U19 | 4.03 | 5.37% |
| LOSS | Sejong SA - Haman | 3.93 | 5.37% |